Weather Blog

Vivian Gonzalez

Seasonal Chances

Posted by Vivian Gonzalez

Seasonal chances for rain will be on order this Wednesday. We made it to the middle of the week and fewer storms in the afternoon are expected. A weak area of high pressure is in place in the Western Atlantic Ocean with a better beach breeze. Therefore, with the developing sea breeze collisions, the majority of the storms should be focused inland each afternoon and linger through early evening. This will be the trend through the rest of the week.

By the weekend, right now seasonal chances are expected, but that could change depending on the timing of the jet stream and the progress of a disturbance currently located in the Eastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropics: Watching two areas

There is a tropical wave in the Eastern Bay of Campeche. This one has a low chance of 20% to develop in the next 5 days as it slowly moves West at 10mph.

The one that we need to watch closely is located in the Northeastern Caribbean Sea. It is a broad area of low pressure (disturbance). Conditions appear favorable for development as it moves West-Northwest to Northwest at 10mph. Right now the National Hurricane Center is giving it a medium chance to develop of 30% in 48 hours and 50% chance in 3-5 days once it passes Hispaniola and gets close to the Bahamas.

Most of the models are split with this one. A handful of models take this disturbance through Hispaniola and Eastern Cuba and another batch of models have it curving North and remain in the Western Atlantic Ocean. For now, locally heavy rains expected to spread through Puerto Rico and Hispaniola in the next 48 hours.

Have a wonderful Wednesday and make it a safe one!

Vivian Gonzalez

Meteorologist

WSVN Channel 7

Posted 09/04/13, 7:20am
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